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Country Commercial Guides for FY 2000: Russia

Report prepared by U.S. Embassy Moscow,
Released July, 1999 Note*

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X. ECONOMIC AND TRADE STATISTICS

APPENDIX A: COUNTRY DATA\1

Population:    147.6 million (1998 growth: -.5 percent)
Religions:    Russian Orthodox, Muslim, Jewish, Buddhist, Catholic, Protestant, other.
Government:    Federal, comprised of 89 Republics, Oblasts (regions), Territories and Autonomous Areas.
Languages:    Russian (official), plus over 140 other languages and dialects

Work Week:    40 hours.

APPENDIX B:
Domestic Economy199719981999
GDP (billions of rubles)252226854000
Real GDP growth rate (%)0.4-4.4-3 to -5
GDP Per Capita (rubles)183518252721
Government Spending (% GDP)1138314
Inflation (average annual, in %)11.118435
Unemployment (%)9.611.814.1
Foreign Exchange Reserves ($ bln)17.812.2n/a
Average Exchange Rate (rubles/$)5.789.9724.5
Foreign Debt ($ billions)153.6164.3162.3
Debt Service Rati10.1 14.9n/a

APPENDIX C:
TRADE ($ billions)199719981999
Total Country Export88.473.983.4
Total Country Imports73.659.549.1
U.S. Exports to Russia3.33.6 3.0
U.S. Imports from Russia 4.3 5.7 5.1

\1 - Source (Appendices A, B, C): Russian State Statistics Committee (GOSKOMSTAT). Total trade data supplied by Russian State Customs Committee. U.S.-Russia trade data supplied from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

\2 - 1999 figures are projected.

APPENDIX D: FOREIGN INVESTMENT STATISTICS TABLE I

                      TOP TEN INVESTORS ON ANNUAL BASIS (USD MILLION)

Investor1997
Total \3
1997
Direct
1998
Total \3
1998
Direct
Total12,296 3,900 11,773 3,361
Germany 1,647 228 2,848 328
usa 2,996 2,099 2,238 1,170
Britain 2,411 3401,546 205
France 209 203 1,591 15
Cyprus 992 n/a917 403
Netherlands 540 340 877 610
Switzerland 1,756 104 411 40
Luxembourg -- -- 228 3
Finland -- -- 185 141
Sweden 72 -- 146 70

Source: Goskomstat And Ministry Of Economy
3. Totals Include Direct, Portfolio, And Other Investment.

Table I shows a decline in total investment between 1997 and 1998, from $12.3 billion to $11.8 billion. Foreign direct investment (FDI) declined by 37 percent decline to $3.36 billion in 1998, according to Ministry of Economy data. Balance of payments figures show a larger drop in FDI of two-thirds, from $6.5 billion to $2.2 billion in 1998.

Note: Russian balance of payments data are believed to include investment in bank equity and foreign direct investment that is less than 10 percent of a company's capital; this resulted in much higher figures in 1997 and lower figures in 1998 for foreign direct investment. A large part of the portfolio and other foreign investment, according to Russian government analysts, went into government securities. This category also contains long-term, as well as short-term loans.

TABLE II

                    TOP INVESTORS - ACCUMULATED BASIS (USD MILLION)

Investor

Percent
1997

Million
1997

Percent
Jan-Sept
1998
Million
Jan-Sept
1998
Total 100.0 21,800 100.0 27,219
Usa 28.6 6,228 17.7 4,783
Britain 16.7 3,639 7.9 2,146
Switzerland 15.4 3,359 2.3 208
Germany 11.6 2,536 31.8 8,652
Cyprus 3.3 728 9.2 2,516
Italy 2.8 605 7.6 2,070
France 1.9 408 12.2 3,331
Sweden 1.8 390 1.5 413

Source: Goskomstat and Ministry of Economy

Figures in Table II can only be taken as a general indication of activity identified with a given country. They do not represent accumulated stock of investment because they include portfolio and "other" investment and do not reflect any withdrawal of funds or decreases in value of assets. Economy Ministry analysts identify direct investment as $3.9 billion in 1997. Comparable data is not yet available for 1998.

TABLE III

                    FOREIGN INVESTMENT - TOP REGIONS (USD MILLION)

Region Percent
1997
Million
1997
Percent
1998
Million
1998
Total 100.0 10,500 100.0 11,773
Moscow(City) 67.4 7,077 49.8 5,860
Moscow Region N/A N/A 6.0 709
Tatarstan 6.7 698 5.8 684
Omsk 3.5 365 3.8 452
Petersburg 1.6 171 3.5 413
Yakutia -- -- 1.7 197
Samara -- -- 1.6 193
Tyumen 1.9 195 1.5 182

Source: Goskomstat and Ministry of Economy

\4 Ministry of Economy data by sector and region in 1997 were calculated using a smaller figure for total foreign investment of $10.5 billion.

Table III shows annual investment for 1997 and 1998 by region. Clearly, Moscow and Moscow Oblast got the lion's share in both years, but the large share of portfolio investment could be expected to favor Moscow, where most banks and investment companies are centered.

TABLE IV

                  FOREIGN INVESTMENT - TOP SECTORS (USD MILLION)

Sector Percent
1997
Million
1997
Percent
1998
Million
1998
Total 100.0 10,500100.011,773
Fuel Industry15.81,657 15.9 1,880
Food Industry 6.2 646 12.5 1,426
Commercial Activity Supporting the
Functioning of the Market**
16.31,712 12.1 1,426
Trade/Catering4.8 509 10.2 1,201
Finance/Credit 42.14,416 7.6900
Chemical/Petrochemical N/A N/A 4.6546
Transport/Communications 1.7 178 5.0589
Lumber Industry 1.3 134 2.0240
Communications1.2 145 2.3271

Ministry of Economy data by sector and region for 1997 were calculated using a smaller figure for total foreign investment of $10.5 billion. **This category includes, among others, investment, consulting, advertising, and marketing companies. For 1998, it includes only advertising and auditing.

Table IV shows annual investment by sector. Whereas finance and the ungainly "commercial activity supporting the functioning of the market" accounted for close to 60 percent of the total in 1997, investment in 1998 was more evenly distributed among sectors, with a dramatic decline in investment into the financial sector.

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Note* International Copyright, United States Government, 1998 (or other year of first publication). All rights under foreign copyright laws are reserved. All portions of this publication are protected against any type or form of reproduction, communications to the public and the preparation of adaptations, arrangement and alterations outside the United States. U. S. copyright is not asserted under the U.S. Copyright Law, Title17, United States Code.

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